I-BBC Verify ithole ukuthi iRussia isiphinde kabili ukuhlasela kwayo emoyeni e-Ukraine selokhu uMengameli uDonald Trump athatha izintambo ngoJanuwari 2025, naphezu kwezicelo zakhe zomphakathi zokuthi kumiswe umhlangano.
Inani lemicibisholo nama-drone adutshulwa yiMoscow landa kakhulu ngemuva kokunqoba kukaTrump okhethweni ngoNovemba 2024 futhi liqhubeke nokwenyuka kulo lonke isikhathi sakhe sokuba ngumongameli. Phakathi kukaJanuwari 20 noJulayi 19 2025, iRussia yethule izibhamu zasemoyeni ezingu-27,158 e-Ukraine—okungaphezu kokuphindwe kabili kwezingu-11,614 ezaqoshwa ezinyangeni eziyisithupha zokugcina ngaphansi kukaMongameli wangaphambilini uJoe Biden.
Izithembiso Zomkhankaso vs. Ukusabalala Kweqiniso
Ngesikhathi somkhankaso wakhe ka-2024, uMongameli uTrump wafunga ngokuphindaphindiwe ukuthi uzoqeda impi yase-Ukraine “ngosuku olulodwa” uma ekhethwa, ephikisana ngokuthi ukuhlasela okuphelele kweRussia ngabe kwagwenywa ukube umongameli “owayemhlonipha” iKremlin ubesesikhundleni.
Noma kunjalo, naphezu komgomo wakhe wokuthula, abagxeki bathi uTrump usengumongameli ekuqaleni uthumele izimpawu ezixubile. Uhulumeni wakhe wamisa okwesikhashana ukulethwa kwezikhali zokuzivikela emoyeni kanye nosizo lwezempi e-Ukraine ngoMashi nangoJulayi, yize kokubili ukumiswa kwaphinde kwahoxiswa kamuva. Lokhu kuphazamiseka kwahambisana nokwanda okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kwezikhali ezicitshwayo kanye nama-drone aseRussia.
Ngokusho kobunhloli bezempi base-Ukraine, ukukhiqizwa kwezikhali ezicitshwayo zaseRussia kukhuphuke ngo-66% ngonyaka odlule. Ama-drone e-German-2—izinguqulo ze-Iranian Shahed drones ezenziwe eRussia—manje akhiqizwa ngesilinganiso esingu-170 ngosuku esikhungweni esisha esikhulu e-Alabuga, lapho iRussia ithi iyisikhungo esikhulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni sama-drone empi.
Iziqongo Zokuhlaselwa KwaseRussia
Lokhu kuhlasela kwafinyelela esicongweni ngomhlaka-9 kuNtulikazi 2025, lapho i-Air Force yase-Ukraine ibika ukuthi kuneziqhumane ezingama-748 kanye nama-drone aqhunyiswa ngosuku olulodwa—okwaholela ekufeni kwabantu ababili kanye nokulimala kwabantu abangaphezu kweshumi nambili. Selokhu uTrump agcotshwa, iRussia ihlasele kakhulu nsuku zonke kunaleyo rekhodi yangoJulayi 9 ngezikhathi eziyi-14.
Naphezu kokukhungatheka kukaTrump okukhulumayo—kubikwa ukuthi ukhathazekile ngemva kokuhlasela okukhulu ngoMeyi,"Kwenzekeni kuye [uPutin]?"—iKremlin ayizange inciphise ukuhlasela kwayo.
Imizamo Yezombusazwe Nokugxekwa
Ekuqaleni kukaFebhuwari, uNobhala Wezwe uMarco Rubio wahola ithimba lase-US ezingxoxweni zokuthula noNgqongqoshe Wezangaphandle waseRussia uSergei Lavrov eRiyadh, ezalandelwa yizingxoxo phakathi kwezikhulu zase-Ukraine nezaseRussia eTurkey. Lezi zingxoxo zezombusazwe zaqala ukuhambisana nokwehla kwesikhashana kokuhlaselwa kweRussia, kodwa ngokushesha zaphinde zanda.
Abagxeki bathi ukusekelwa kwezempi okungaguquki kukahulumeni kaTrump kwaqinisa iMoscow. USenator Chris Coons, iSenate esiphezulu kwiKomiti Yezobudlelwano Nangaphandle yeSenate, uthe:
"UPutin uzizwa enesibindi ngobuthakathaka bukaTrump. Amasosha akhe aqinise iziteleka ezikhungweni zengqalasizinda yabantu abavamile—izibhedlela, igridi kagesi, kanye namagumbi okubelethisa—ngokuvamile okwesabekayo."
UCoons ugcizelele ukuthi ukwanda kosizo lwezokuphepha lwaseNtshonalanga kuphela okungaphoqa iRussia ukuthi icabangele ngokuqinile ukumiswa kwempi.
Ukukhula Kokusengozini Kwe-Ukraine
Umhlaziyi wezempi uJustin Bronk weRoyal United Services Institute (RUSI) uxwayise ngokuthi ukubambezeleka kanye nemikhawulo ekunikezweni kwezikhali zase-US kushiye i-Ukraine isengozini enkulu yokuhlaselwa emoyeni. Wanezela ngokuthi ukwanda kwenqwaba yezikhali ezicitshwayo ze-ballistic kanye ne-kamikaze drones zaseRussia, kuhlangene nokuncipha kokulethwa kwezikhali ezicitshwayo zaseMelika, kuye kwenza iKremlin yandisa umkhankaso wayo ngemiphumela emibi kakhulu.
Izinhlelo zokuzivikela emoyeni zase-Ukraine, okuhlanganisa namabhethri e-Patriot asebenza kahle kakhulu, ziyaphela. Uhlelo ngalunye lwe-Patriot lubiza cishe amaRandi ayizigidi eziyi-1, kanti isikhali ngasinye sicishe sibe amaRandi ayizigidi ezine—izinsizakusebenza i-Ukraine ezidinga kakhulu kodwa kunzima ukuzigcina. UTrump uvumile ukuthengisa izikhali kubalingani be-NATO, nabo abathumela ezinye zalezo zikhali eKyiv, okuhlanganisa nezinhlelo ze-Patriot ezengeziwe.
Emhlabeni: Ukwesaba Nokukhathala
Kwabantu abavamile, impilo yansuku zonke engaphansi kosongo oluqhubekayo isibe yinto evamile entsha.
"Njalo ebusuku lapho ngilala, ngiyazibuza ukuthi ngizovuka yini,"kusho intatheli uDasha Volk eKyiv, ekhuluma nabasakazi be-BBC base-Ukraine.
“Uzwa ukuqhuma noma ama-missile ngaphezulu, bese ucabanga ukuthi—’Yilokhu kuphela.’”
Ukuziphatha kuyaphela njengoba izivikelo zomoya ziqhubeka zingena.
"Abantu bakhathele. Siyazi ukuthi silwelani, kodwa ngemva kweminyaka eminingi kangaka, ukukhathala sekungokoqobo,"UVolk wengeze.
Isiphetho: Ukungaqiniseki Okuzayo
Njengoba iRussia iqhubeka nokwandisa ukukhiqizwa kwayo kwezindiza ezingenayo i-drone kanye nezikhali ezicitshwayo—futhi njengoba izimpahla zokuzivikela emoyeni zase-Ukraine zeluliwe kakhulu—ikusasa lengxabano lisalokhu lingaqinisekile. Uhulumeni kaTrump ubhekene nengcindezi ekhulayo yokuthumela isignali ecacile neqinile eKremlin: ukuthi iNtshonalanga ngeke ihlehle, futhi ukuthula akunakutholakala ngokuxolisa noma ukubambezeleka.
Ukuthi lowo myalezo uyalethwa—futhi wamukelwe—kungase kulolonge isigaba esilandelayo sale mpi.
Umthombo Wesihloko:I-BBC
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Agasti-06-2025
