BBC Verify yasanze Uburusiya bwikubye inshuro zirenga ebyiri ibitero by’indege byagabwe kuri Ukraine kuva Perezida Donald Trump yatangira imirimo muri Mutarama 2025, nubwo yahamagariye rubanda guhagarika imirwano.
Umubare wa misile na drone zarashwe na Moscou wazamutse cyane nyuma yo gutsinda amatora ya Trump mu Gushyingo 2024 kandi ukomeje kuzamuka muri perezidansi ye yose. Hagati ya 20 Mutarama na 19 Nyakanga 2025, Uburusiya bwatangije amasasu yo mu kirere 27.158 muri Ukraine - bikubye inshuro zirenga 11,614 zanditswe mu mezi atandatu ya nyuma iyobowe n'uwahoze ari Perezida Joe Biden.
Ubukangurambaga bwasezeranye na Escalating Reality
Mu kwiyamamaza kwe mu 2024, Perezida Trump yemeye inshuro nyinshi guhagarika intambara yo muri Ukraine “umunsi umwe” aramutse atowe, avuga ko igitero cy’Uburusiya cyashoboraga kwirindwa mu gihe perezida wa Kreml “wubahwa” yari ku butegetsi.
Nyamara, nubwo intego ye y’amahoro yavuzwe, abanenga bavuga ko kuba perezida wa perezida wa mbere yohereje ibimenyetso bivanze. Ubuyobozi bwe bwahagaritse by'agateganyo itangwa ry’intwaro zirwanira mu kirere n’imfashanyo za gisirikare muri Ukraine haba muri Werurwe na Nyakanga, nubwo nyuma y’uko ibiruhuko byombi byahinduwe. Ihagarikwa ryahuriranye no kwiyongera gukabije kwa misile yo mu Burusiya no gukora drone.
Nk’uko amakuru y’ubutasi bwa gisirikare bwa Ukraine abitangaza ngo umwaka ushize wa misile ballist yo mu Burusiya yiyongereyeho 66%. Indege zitagira abaderevu za Geran-2 - zakozwe mu Burusiya n’indege zitagira abapilote za Irani Shahed - ubu zirimo gukorwa ku gipimo cya 170 ku munsi mu kigo kinini kinini cya Alabuga, Uburusiya buvuga ko ari uruganda runini rutagira abapilote ku isi.
Impinga mu bitero by'Uburusiya
Ibyo bitero byageze ku ya 9 Nyakanga 2025, ubwo ingabo zirwanira mu kirere za Ukraine zavugaga ko misile 748 za misile na drone zarashwe ku munsi umwe - bikaviramo nibura abantu babiri bapfa abandi barenga icumi. Kuva Trump yatangira, Uburusiya bwagabye ibitero byinshi bya buri munsi kuruta ibyo ku ya 9 Nyakanga inshuro 14.
Nubwo Trump yababajwe cyane-bivugwa ko yabisabye nyuma yigitero gikomeye cyo muri Gicurasi,“Ikuzimu byamugendekeye bite [Putin]?”—Kreml ntiyadindije ibitero byayo.
Imbaraga za diplomasi no kunegura
Mu ntangiriro za Gashyantare, umunyamabanga wa Leta, Marco Rubio, yayoboye intumwa z’Amerika mu biganiro by’amahoro na minisitiri w’ububanyi n’amahanga w’Uburusiya Sergei Lavrov i Riyadh, hakurikiraho ibiganiro by’abunzi hagati y’abayobozi ba Ukraine n’Uburusiya muri Turukiya. Ibi byemezo bya diplomasi byabanje guherekezwa no kwibiza by'agateganyo ibitero by'Uburusiya, ariko bidatinze byongera kwiyongera.
Abakenguzamateka bavuga ko inkunga ya gisirikare idahwitse y’ubuyobozi bwa Trump yashimangiye Moscou. Senateri Chris Coons, umudepite uharanira demokarasi muri komisiyo ishinzwe ububanyi n'amahanga muri Sena, yagize ati:
Ati: "Putin yumva afite ubwoba kubera intege nke za Trump. Igisirikare cye cyakajije umurego mu bitero ku bikorwa remezo bya gisivili - ibitaro, umuyoboro w'amashanyarazi, ndetse n'ababyeyi babyarira - bikabije."
Coons yashimangiye ko ubwiyongere bw’imfashanyo z’umutekano z’iburengerazuba zishobora guhatira Uburusiya gutekereza cyane ku guhagarika imirwano.
Ukwiyongera kwa Ukraine
Umusesenguzi wa gisirikare Justin Bronk wo mu kigo cyitwa Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) yihanangirije ko gutinda no gukumira ibikoresho by’intwaro z’Amerika byatumye Ukraine igenda yibasirwa n’ibitero byo mu kirere. Yongeyeho ko Uburusiya bugenda bwiyongera mu bubiko bwa misile za ballistique na drone za kamikaze, hamwe no kugabanya kohereza misile za misile z’abanyamerika, byatumye Kremle ikomeza ubukangurambaga hamwe n’ibisubizo bibabaje.
Sisitemu yo kurinda ikirere cya Ukraine, harimo na bateri zikomeye za Patriot, zirakora cyane. Buri sisitemu ya Patriot igura hafi miliyari imwe y'amadolari, kandi buri misile igera kuri miliyoni 4 z'amadolari - umutungo Ukraine ikeneye cyane ariko irwana no kubungabunga. Trump yemeye kugurisha intwaro ku bafatanyabikorwa ba NATO na bo bohereza zimwe muri izo ntwaro i Kyiv, harimo n’ubundi buryo bwo gukunda igihugu.
Ku butaka: Ubwoba n'umunaniro
Ku basivili, ubuzima bwa buri munsi bugeramiwe bwahindutse ibintu bisanzwe.
“Buri joro iyo ngiye kuryama, nibaza niba nzabyuka.”nk'uko byatangajwe n'umunyamakuru Dasha Volk i Kyiv, aganira na Ukrainecast ya BBC.
“Urumva ibisasu cyangwa misile hejuru, ukibwira uti: 'Ibi ni byo.'”
Morale yambaye ibinure kuko kurinda ikirere bigenda byinjira.
Ati: "Abantu bararushye. Tuzi icyo turwanira, ariko nyuma yimyaka myinshi, umunaniro nukuri."Volk yongeyeho.
Umwanzuro: Kutamenya neza imbere
Mu gihe Uburusiya bukomeje kwagura umusaruro w’indege zitagira abadereva na misile - kandi n’uko ibikoresho byo mu kirere bya Ukraine bigera ku mbibi zabo - ejo hazaza h’amakimbirane ntiharamenyekana. Ubuyobozi bwa Trump burahura n’igitutu cyo kohereza ikimenyetso cyumvikana kandi gikomeye muri Kreml: ko Uburengerazuba butazasubira inyuma, kandi amahoro ntashobora kugerwaho binyuze mu gutuza cyangwa gutinda.
Niba ubwo butumwa bwatanzwe - kandi bwakiriwe - bushobora guhindura icyiciro gikurikira cy'iyi ntambara.
Ingingo Inkomoko ：BBC
Igihe cyo kohereza: Kanama-06-2025
