Bungwe la BBC Verify lapeza kuti dziko la Russia lachita ziwopsezo zambiri kuposa kawiri zomwe lachita mumlengalenga ku Ukraine kuyambira pomwe Purezidenti Donald Trump adalowa m'malo mwake mu Januwale 2025, ngakhale kuti anthu ambiri adapempha kuti pakhale kuletsa nkhondo.
Chiwerengero cha zida zankhondo ndi ma drone omwe anaponyedwa ndi Moscow chinakwera kwambiri Trump atapambana chisankho mu Novembala 2024 ndipo chapitirira kukwera nthawi yonse yomwe anali pulezidenti. Pakati pa 20 Januwale ndi 19 Julayi 2025, Russia inayambitsa zida zankhondo zamlengalenga 27,158 ku Ukraine—zoposa kawiri kuposa 11,614 zomwe zinalembedwa m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yapitayi pansi pa Purezidenti wakale Joe Biden.
Malonjezo a Kampeni vs. Kuwonjezeka kwa Zoona
Pa nthawi ya kampeni yake ya 2024, Purezidenti Trump analonjeza mobwerezabwereza kuti athetsa nkhondo ya ku Ukraine "m'tsiku limodzi" ngati atasankhidwa, ponena kuti kuukira kwakukulu kwa Russia kukanatha kupewedwa ngati purezidenti yemwe Kremlin "amamulemekeza" anali paudindo.
Komabe, ngakhale kuti cholinga chake chinali chofuna mtendere, otsutsa akuti utsogoleri wa Trump woyambirira wapereka zizindikiro zosiyanasiyana. Utsogoleri wake unayimitsa kwakanthawi kutumiza zida zankhondo zamlengalenga ndi thandizo lankhondo ku Ukraine mu Marichi ndi Julayi, ngakhale kuti kuyimitsa konseku kunasinthidwa pambuyo pake. Kusokonekera kumeneku kunagwirizana ndi kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa kupanga zida zankhondo ndi ma drone ku Russia.
Malinga ndi akatswiri azankhondo aku Ukraine, kupanga zida zankhondo za ballistic ku Russia kwawonjezeka ndi 66% chaka chatha. Ma drones a ku Germany-2—ma drones a ku Iranian Shahed opangidwa ku Russia—tsopano akupangidwa pamlingo wa 170 patsiku pamalo atsopano akuluakulu ku Alabuga, omwe Russia imati ndi malo akuluakulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi opangira zida zankhondo za drone.
Kuukira kwa Russia kwafika pachimake
Kuukiraku kunafika pachimake pa 9 Julayi 2025, pomwe gulu lankhondo la ku Ukraine linanena kuti zida zankhondo ndi ma drone 748 zinaponyedwa tsiku limodzi—zomwe zinachititsa kuti anthu awiri aphedwe komanso anthu oposa khumi ndi awiri avulala. Kuyambira pamene Trump analowa utsogoleri, Russia yachita ziwopsezo zambiri tsiku lililonse kuposa zomwe zinachitika pa 9 Julayi nthawi 14.
Ngakhale kuti Trump anakwiya kwambiri—akuti anali wofunitsitsa pambuyo pa chiwembu chachikulu cha mu May,"Chamuchitikira nchiyani [Putin]?"—Kremlin sinachedwetse kuukira kwake.
Khama la Ukadaulo ndi Kudzudzula
Kumayambiriro kwa mwezi wa February, Nduna ya Zachilendo Marco Rubio anatsogolera gulu la US ku zokambirana za mtendere ndi Nduna Yachilendo ya Russia Sergei Lavrov ku Riyadh, zomwe zinatsatiridwa ndi zokambirana pakati pa akuluakulu a ku Ukraine ndi Russia ku Turkey. Zokambirana zaukazitape izi poyamba zinaphatikizidwa ndi kuchepa kwakanthawi kwa ziwopsezo za ku Russia, koma posakhalitsa zinakulanso.
Otsutsa akunena kuti thandizo la asilikali la boma la Trump silinasinthe linalimbikitsa Moscow. Senator Chris Coons, mkulu wa Democrat mu Komiti Yoona za Ubale wa Zakunja ya Senate, anati:
"Putin akumva kuti ali ndi mphamvu chifukwa cha kufooka kwa Trump. Asilikali ake awonjezera zipolowe pa zomangamanga za anthu wamba—zipatala, magetsi, ndi zipinda za amayi oyembekezera—ndipo nthawi zambiri zimakhala zoopsa."
Coons adagogomezera kuti kuwonjezeka kwa thandizo la chitetezo cha ku Western kokha ndiko kungachititse Russia kuganizira mozama za kuletsa nkhondoyi.
Kuwonjezeka kwa Chiwopsezo ku Ukraine
Katswiri wa zankhondo Justin Bronk wa ku Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) anachenjeza kuti kuchedwa ndi kuletsa zida za US kwapangitsa kuti Ukraine ikhale pachiwopsezo chachikulu cha ziwopsezo za mlengalenga. Anawonjezeranso kuti kuchuluka kwa zipolopolo za ballistic ndi ma drone a kamikaze ku Russia, kuphatikiza kuchepetsa kutumiza zipolopolo za America, kwathandiza Kremlin kupititsa patsogolo kampeni yake ndi zotsatira zoyipa.
Zida zodzitetezera ku mlengalenga ku Ukraine, kuphatikizapo mabatire amphamvu kwambiri a Patriot, zikuchepa. Dongosolo lililonse la Patriot limawononga pafupifupi $1 biliyoni, ndipo chida chilichonse chili pafupifupi $4 miliyoni—zinthu zomwe Ukraine ikufunikira kwambiri koma ikuvutika kuzisamalira. Trump wavomera kugulitsa zida kwa ogwirizana ndi NATO omwe, nawonso, akutumiza zina mwa zidazo ku Kyiv, kuphatikizapo zida zina za Patriot.
Pansi: Mantha ndi Kutopa
Kwa anthu wamba, moyo watsiku ndi tsiku womwe uli pachiwopsezo nthawi zonse wakhala chinthu chatsopano.
"Usiku uliwonse ndikagona, ndimadabwa ngati ndidzadzuka,"adatero mtolankhani Dasha Volk ku Kyiv, polankhula ndi wailesi ya BBC ku Ukraine.
"Mumamva kuphulika kapena ma droo akukwera pamwamba, ndipo mumaganiza kuti—'Ndi izi.'"
Khalidwe la anthu likuchepa pamene chitetezo cha mpweya chikuchulukirachulukira.
"Anthu atopa. Tikudziwa zomwe tikumenyera, koma patatha zaka zambiri, kutopako kwakhala kwenikweni,"Volk anawonjezera.
Mapeto: Kusatsimikizika Kuli Patsogolo
Pamene Russia ikupitiriza kukulitsa kupanga ma drone ndi zida zankhondo—ndipo pamene zida zankhondo za ku Ukraine zikuchepa—tsogolo la mkanganowu silikudziwika. Ulamuliro wa Trump ukukumana ndi kukakamizidwa kwakukulu kuti utumize chizindikiro chomveka bwino komanso cholimba ku Kremlin: kuti Kumadzulo sikubwerera m'mbuyo, ndipo mtendere sungatheke mwa kutonthoza kapena kuchedwetsa.
Kaya uthengawo waperekedwa—ndi kulandiridwa—ungayambitse gawo lotsatira la nkhondoyi.
Chitsime cha Nkhani:BBC
Nthawi yotumizira: Ogasiti-06-2025
