BBC Verify ta gano cewa Rasha ta ninka hare-haren da take kaiwa ta sama a Ukraine tun lokacin da Shugaba Donald Trump ya hau karagar mulki a watan Janairun 2025, duk da kiran da ya yi na tsagaita bude wuta.
Yawan makamai masu linzami da jirage marasa matuka da Moscow ta harba ya karu sosai bayan nasarar da Trump ya samu a zaben watan Nuwamban 2024 kuma ya ci gaba da hawa sama a duk tsawon mulkinsa. Tsakanin 20 ga Janairu da 19 ga Yuli 2025, Rasha ta harba makamai masu linzami 27,158 a Ukraine - fiye da sau biyu na 11,614 da aka yi rikodin a cikin watanni shida na ƙarshe a karkashin tsohon Shugaba Joe Biden.
Yaƙin Yaƙin Alkawari vs. Haƙiƙa Mai Haɓakawa
A lokacin yakin neman zabensa na 2024, Shugaba Trump ya sha yin alkwarin kawo karshen yakin Ukraine "a cikin rana daya" idan aka zabe shi, yana mai cewa da a iya kaucewa mamayewar da Rasha ta yi gaba daya idan har shugaba Kremlin ke "girmama" yana kan karagar mulki.
Amma duk da haka, duk da manufarsa na zaman lafiya, masu suka sun ce farkon shugabancin Trump ya aika da sakonni iri-iri. Gwamnatinsa ta dakatar da isar da makaman kariya ta sama da taimakon soji zuwa Ukraine na wani dan lokaci a cikin Maris da Yuli, duk da cewa an dakatar da duka biyun daga baya. Katsewar ta zo daidai da wani gagarumin tashin hankali a cikin samar da makamai masu linzami na Rasha da kera jiragen sama marasa matuki.
A cewar leken asirin sojojin Ukraine, kera makami mai linzami na Rasha ya karu da kashi 66 cikin dari a cikin shekarar da ta gabata. Jirage marasa matuki na Geran-2 - nau'ikan jiragen sama mara matuki na Iran da Rasha ke kera a yanzu a kan wani adadi na 170 a kowace rana a wani katafaren ginin da ke Alabuga, wanda Rasha ke ikirarin ita ce tashar jiragen yaki mara matuki mafi girma a duniya.
Kololuwa a hare-haren Rasha
Hare-haren sun kai kololuwa a ranar 9 ga Yuli, 2025, lokacin da Rundunar Sojan Sama ta Ukraine ta ba da rahoton harba makamai masu linzami 748 da jirage marasa matuka a cikin yini guda—wanda ya yi sanadin mutuwar a kalla biyu tare da jikkata fiye da dozin. Tun bayan rantsar da Trump, Rasha ta kai hare-hare a kullum fiye da wanda aka samu a ranar 9 ga watan Yuli a lokuta 14.
Duk da takaicin muryar Trump - wanda aka ruwaito yana neman bayan wani babban hari a watan Mayu,"Mene ne jahannama ya same shi (Putin)?"-Kremlin ba ta jinkirta kai hare-hare ba.
Kokarin Diflomasiya da suka
A farkon watan Fabrairu, sakataren harkokin wajen Amurka Marco Rubio, ya jagoranci tawagar Amurka, a tattaunawar sulhu da ministan harkokin wajen Rasha Sergei Lavrov a birnin Riyadh, inda aka gudanar da tattaunawar sulhu tsakanin jami'an Ukraine da Rasha a Turkiyya. Wadannan sauye-sauyen diflomasiyya da farko sun kasance tare da tsoma baki na wucin gadi a hare-haren na Rasha, amma ba da jimawa ba suka sake ruruwa.
Masu sukar lamirin gwamnatin Trump na nuna rashin amincewa da goyon bayan soji da gwamnatin Trump ta bayar ya karfafa Moscow. Sanata Chris Coons, wani jigo a jam'iyyar Democrat a kwamitin kula da harkokin kasashen waje na majalisar dattawa, ya ce:
"Putin ya ji karfin gwiwa da raunin Trump. Sojojinsa sun kara kai hare-hare kan ababen more rayuwa na farar hula - asibitoci, tashar wutar lantarki, da wuraren haihuwa - tare da mugun nufi."
Coons ya jaddada cewa karuwar taimakon tsaro na kasashen yammacin duniya ne kadai zai iya tilastawa Rasha yin la'akari da tsagaita bude wuta da gaske.
Yunƙurin Ƙarfafa Rashin Lafiya
Wani manazarci a fannin soji Justin Bronk na cibiyar Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) ya yi gargadin cewa jinkiri da kayyade kayan makaman Amurka sun sa Ukraine ta kara fuskantar barazanar kai hare-hare ta sama. Ya kara da cewa, karuwar tarin makamai masu linzami na ballistic da jiragen kamikaze da Rasha ke samu, tare da rage yawan isar da makamai masu linzami da Amurka ke yi, ya baiwa fadar Kremlin damar zafafa yakin neman zabenta da sakamako mai muni.
Na'urorin tsaron iska na Ukraine, gami da batir Patriot masu fa'ida sosai, suna tafiya sirara. Kowane tsarin Patriot yana kashe kusan dala biliyan 1, kuma kowane makami mai linzami kusan dala miliyan 4 - albarkatun Ukraine na matukar buƙata amma yana ƙoƙarin kiyayewa. Trump ya amince ya sayar da makamai ga abokan kawancen NATO, wadanda kuma ke aikewa da wasu daga cikin wadannan makaman zuwa Kyiv, gami da yiwuwar karin tsarin Patriot.
A Qasa: Tsoro da gajiya
Ga fararen hula, rayuwar yau da kullun a ƙarƙashin barazana ta zama sabon al'ada.
"Kowace dare idan na yi barci, ina tunanin ko zan farka,"In ji dan jarida Dasha Volk a Kyiv, yayin da yake zantawa da wakilin BBC Ukrainecast.
"Kuna jin fashewar abubuwa ko makamai masu linzami a sama, kuma kuna tunanin - 'Wannan shi ne.'"
Morale yana sanye da bakin ciki yayin da kariya ta iska ke ƙara shiga.
"Mutane sun gaji, mun san abin da muke fama da shi, amma bayan shekaru da yawa, gajiyar gaskiya ce."Volk ya kara da cewa.
Kammalawa: Rashin tabbas a gaba
Yayin da kasar Rasha ke ci gaba da fadada samar da jiragen yaki marasa matuka da makamai masu linzami—kuma yayin da aka shimfida kayyakin kariya daga sararin samaniyar Ukraine zuwa iyakarsu—ba a da tabbas kan makomar rikicin. Gwamnatin Trump na fuskantar karin matsin lamba don aikewa da wata sanarwa mai kara karfi ga Kremlin: cewa kasashen Yamma ba za su ja da baya ba, kuma ba za a iya samun zaman lafiya ta hanyar jin dadi ko jinkiri ba.
Ko an isar da wannan saƙon—kuma an karɓa—na iya tsara mataki na gaba na wannan yaƙin.
Tushen labari:BBC
Lokacin aikawa: Agusta-06-2025
